Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 217.116635 261.013862 315.714779 390.489959 492.718690 631.901546 8.440313e+02
2025-02-02 178.650297 236.428737 319.759182 456.033034 690.286035 1117.957515 2.097314e+03
2025-02-09 143.894389 200.703132 289.728155 452.270055 778.720934 1527.590946 4.063817e+03
2025-02-16 123.936049 179.924289 273.546469 460.743427 892.544863 2137.259880 9.034632e+03
2025-02-23 109.973560 164.854898 261.628527 470.767048 1018.375981 3015.871768 2.500161e+04
2025-03-02 100.074182 154.282370 254.497658 487.254305 1178.074666 4460.326818 1.290971e+05
2025-03-09 91.134555 143.621938 244.376956 492.697880 1315.109168 6406.192909 5.466536e+06
2025-03-16 81.813153 130.750897 226.999454 473.717569 1355.413663 8069.471246 NaN
2025-03-23 77.329347 126.194958 225.885868 497.460751 1596.133569 13984.140657 NaN
2025-03-30 69.981349 115.147587 208.643014 469.722828 1583.180185 16823.518676 NaN
2025-04-06 65.924780 110.048807 203.765816 477.373103 1765.210327 28636.691220 NaN
2025-04-13 61.781235 104.273872 196.330845 474.662126 1895.541319 47360.194359 NaN
2025-04-20 60.537233 104.777653 205.114883 534.902253 2608.868414 409148.412947 NaN
2025-04-27 60.437104 107.778178 221.277417 636.169318 4165.955888 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 56.293391 101.401473 211.612989 629.931668 4639.027985 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 53.281152 97.155041 206.869103 643.422429 5554.730861 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 50.666152 93.475379 202.959898 659.473560 6764.578037 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 48.569182 90.728079 201.177513 686.031631 8677.931810 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 46.252211 87.194127 196.388995 694.841632 10479.326151 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 43.323592 81.916505 185.449117 664.212171 10656.823732 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 42.057621 80.509344 186.204889 702.566704 15005.466502 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 39.337143 75.312595 174.229966 657.797511 14101.379039 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 37.879555 73.096272 171.459858 670.091878 17794.121088 NaN NaN